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Trump’s Nobel Peace Prize Chances Remain Slim as Gaza Plan Faces Test

October 2, 2025 10:43 AM
Trump

Trump’s Nobel Peace Prize Chances Remain Slim as Gaza Plan Faces Test

With just eight days left until the announcement of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, speculation is swirling around U.S. President Donald Trump, who has openly expressed his desire to win the award. Trump claims that if his newly announced plan to end the Gaza conflict succeeds, he will have resolved as many as eight international conflicts within a matter of months.

Trump Links Nobel to American Honor

Trump has argued that winning the prize would not only be a personal achievement but also a recognition of the United States. Speaking to reporters, he said:

“If my Gaza peace plan works, we will have ended eight conflicts in a few months. Nobody has ever done that. And yet, will I get the Nobel? Absolutely not. They’ll give it to someone who has written a book about Donald Trump and peace, not the person who made it happen.”

The president added that failing to award him the prize would be “a great insult to our country,” insisting that the honor should go to America, not just him.

Experts Skeptical of Trump’s Chances

Despite his claims, experts and historians say Trump’s prospects remain extremely low. Traditionally, the Nobel Committee favors individuals who work quietly on forgotten or neglected conflicts rather than leaders who dominate global headlines.

  • Øyvind Stenersen, a historian in Oslo, noted that Trump’s divisive “America First” policies are “the opposite of the ideals represented by the Nobel Peace Prize.”

  • Dan Smith, head of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), emphasized that the committee would look for “clear examples of lasting success in establishing peace” rather than political claims.

Gaza Plan as a Litmus Test

Trump insists his mediation in Gaza could be a game-changer. If the ceasefire initiative produces long-term stability, it may strengthen his case. However, experts warn that lasting results, not promises, carry weight with the Nobel Committee.

Thousands of eligible candidates are nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize each year, but the decision remains highly secretive until the official announcement, which will be made on Friday, October 10, in Oslo.

Conclusion

While Trump presents himself as a peacemaker who has resolved “six or seven wars,” analysts argue that his polarizing policies and combative style make a Nobel win unlikely. Still, his Gaza peace initiative will serve as a critical test of whether his claims translate into tangible global impact.

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